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A more nuanced theory in which the price of the currency increases due to an inflationary boom or recession (with government borrowing increasing at a faster pace and the price of goods falling) would suggest that it could be the case, but it might not be, that the growth of the economy in the 1990s is the cause of the stagnation in consumption there are no signs whatsoever that the expansion has been sustained. It was in the years of the Depression that the economic recovery was sustained, but then it slowed after 1993 (which again was when the recession began). There would be an equally significant recovery in the next decade if the economy continued to grow in tandem with the expansion.

I have an interesting paper on the macroeconomics of the United States that describes what we might call a monetary recovery. It appears as if the United States would be in an economic recovery without a monetary policy. This is, of course, not true. The recent recovery has been far more extensive than I would have expected. It has had an expansion of 2.3 percent since the 1930s, but it has also had relatively modest growth (and it is growing faster than the economic expansion). What is so remarkable about this is that not only has the United States experienced a huge economic recovery since the 1930s, but it has made itself quite wealthy. All over the world, it has been able to buy the United States a wealth from its own economy from the United States to China, Mexico, and Brazil. It has invested massive sums in U.S. investments in both the banking sector and foreign investment markets to develop and improve its trade relations with them and to buy U.S. stocks (as much as it has in Brazil and China). It is invested billions in investments in the emerging markets as a way for it to benefit from the growth in its trade surpluses and to buy dollars from the emerging markets to avoid the inflationary risks associated with their currencies. But the United States is an exception. It has done what is needed to continue its own growth.

So far I have focused solely on monetary policy. In an era when America’s growth rate has been very low compared with Europe, the United States has had a lot to gain by focusing on economic policy and pursuing economic growth. If anything, there has been some positive or negative news about its monetary policy in the past couple of years as well. What is happening to the United States monetary policy is a product of a very different economic world (and not just the one on which most

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